An Economist’s Guide to the World in 2050

Sunday, January 3, 2021

 For my long-term retirement portfolio investing, I like to get ideas on long-term (out to 2050) Economic trends etc.

I've seen a few of these types of analysis from various sources (this one is Bloomberg) and they generally say the same thing, power/riches moving from West to East.  I wonder how much they took into account potential game changers such as 3D printing (already having a fairly large effect and will grow as it continues to grow more sophisticated) and a future juggernaut, Nanotechnology (this would be hard to take into account at this point, other than what Country is putting more R&D into these things -- I've seen tables on that too and think that was Asia too...Doh!).

https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2020-global-economic-forecast-2050/?utm_source=pocket&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=pockethits

Healthy vs. Unhealthy Sugar Substitutes

Thursday, December 31, 2020

 Here are 2 healthy ones discussed at my fave science based Health website

https://www.healthline.com/health/food-nutrition/xylitol-vs-erythritol


I was going to say, here are the unhealthy ones...the artificial sweeteners but that was based on the last time I did a deep dive on them, at least 5y ago, seems since then more refined studies found they may not be as bad as the initial, cruder experiments suggested. This is is why we need to be open minded and be ready to change our stance when the science based facts change.

https://www.healthline.com/nutrition/artificial-sweeteners-good-or-bad#bottom-line

However, it's not like the new results proved they are very healthy and there still seems to be some trouble areas like the effect artificial sweeteners have on our gut biome (which we are learning plays an ever increasingly central role in our health) and a few other areas. So I will keep abstaining.

FYI - My Current Supplement Regiment

 FYI - Sent this to a friend today but figured share widely in case others interested


On M, W & F's I take
- 1 Multi Vit
- 1 Vit D (not w K as my multi has K but I think it'd be fine to take a Vit D&K here as well)

Multi link, great shop in US (I've never found it in Can)...$9.99 shipping is fair. Also check Andy_Whitby review at that link haha 9 Ppl found it helpful 0 say Not helpful haha
https://www.vitacost.com/emerald-labs-one-a-day-mens-45-plus-1-daily-multi#ProductReviewsContent

Vit D (like I said can just go w Vit D&K here)

On T, Tr, Sat & Sun I take 
- 1 Vit D, 1 Vit D&K, 1 High Efficacy Quercetin

You could just do 2 Vit D&K + Quercetin

Vit D & K

High EMIQ Quercetin

This is an amazing review of Senolytics (Quercetin being a prime example)...supplements that can get rid of senescent (i.e. dying/dead) cells.


It's a long article so here's a good quote from it

That getting rid of senescent cells is enough to effectively rejuvenate an animal—that tells you they’re a really important driver of aging. 

 —Lorna Harries, University of Exeter

Robots - Evolving!

Wednesday, December 30, 2020

Saw this super entertaining video from my fave podcaster Lex Fridman...here's the latest evolution of what Robots can do, this is getting very lifelike and should be more than enough for most jobs they would be asked to do!

https://youtu.be/fn3KWM1kuAw


10y or so ago, this was the most advanced Robot in the world...now it's a bit counterintuitive but while dancing (like the above) is easier for a human than learning to play the violin like this...it's the reverse for Robots!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EzjkBwZtxp4


Finally, for some fun, here's Jimmy Fallon interviewing some of the best/funniest Robots 1-2y ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G-zyTlZQYpE

Wallpaper TV's - Waiting a long time for these!

Tuesday, December 29, 2020
When LG announced their 77" Wallpaper OLED years ago, I thought surely that would release the flood gates and by now we could buy a 100"+ model for a reasonable price!


Clearly that hasn't been the case, I haven't had time to deep dive on what the problem was/is...I have a 55" OLED upstairs which is perfect size for wall mounting (and an amazing tv btw!!!) in the bedroom but downstairs I have room for a 100"+ Wallpaper TV. The TV industry has been strange last 5 years, OLED hasn't taken over as expected (I have a vague notion of why but won't get into it here) instead Samsung is faking next gen technology with their QLED's (QLED is supposed to be the next gen to OLED, Quantum Dot TV's - without backlights! Samsung just takes an LCD/LED and adds a QLED layer to approximate what a QLED would be but the key is does it need a backlight or not!) and we're seeing the extension of ancient LCD/LED tech by Nanocells/Mini LED's etc.

So as I look to replace my 11yo top quality LG LED (w/ local dimming) in the next few months I won't be able to get something like the beautiful MicroLED (don't mix this up w Nanocells or Mini LED, Micro LED is a true upgrade in tech as it requires no backlight just like OLED's) Samsung is showcasing, as MicroLed not really out yet and will be insanely expensive for awhile after being out anyway. I'll have to settle for some 4K HDR LED that at least has all the latest smart tv apps, like Apple Air Play 2 etc (85" versions of these will still be fairly nice to play PS5 on). That my 11yo LG does not. Samsung's amazing looking 110" MicroLED (I still have an embargo on Samsung after seeing their QA take a nosedive in last 5y or so, though perhaps recently they've tried to recitfy this, time will tell)

Can We Extract Energy from the Black Hole at the Center of the Milky Way?

Sunday, December 27, 2020

My compatriot V. Toth on Quora usually answers questions thoroughly and very clearly...this is a rare one where he missed the bullseye.


I would have fixed it with a comment but VT disables them. What he wrote is good for everyone to know and it is all true but the key bits he missed are

If a Black Hole spins, we can extract energy from it, Penrose developed a process using the Ergosphere for how this is possible.

Then the question is, does the BH at centre of our galaxy spin? Not easy to measure but seems it probably does, at a rate of no more than 10% the theoretical max spin of a BH

BH's can have 3 fundamental properties
1) Mass
2) Spin
3) Electric Charge

So this got me thinking, since Spin can be used as an energy source, can electric charge? I did a quick deep dive and it seems it can, though likely still needs Spin as well. This article below did the background research and explains very clearly

This could be a future energy source once we reach Kardashev III level!

Future of Free Higher Education: Update

Tuesday, September 18, 2018
A great step, I'm sure we will see more of the same in years to come from other Uni's

https://news.slashdot.org/story/18/09/18/1912253/rice-university-says-middle-class-and-low-income-students-wont-have-to-pay-tuition

Ultimate goal of course being completely free!


A Few Of My Fave UTube Vids

Wednesday, August 29, 2018
If short UTube vids could have an Oscar category I'd put these two as winners, hard to describe the myriad things I love about these vids...I mean yes, they do look glorious on my 4K HDR OLED but that's only half of it, the other half is less tangible but enjoy!

Watch in as high as resolution as you can muster with the sound up!!!

<SORRY for some reason the link doesn't work when placed here so I had to find an alt...that seems to work!  Let me know if it doesn't!>

https://youtu.be/vlDzYIIOYmM

https://youtu.be/vr0qNXmkUJ8

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AC1cREPIw_o&t=9s



PS Unrelated but a rare smart ruling in the US by a higher court

https://yro.slashdot.org/story/18/08/29/1434201/us-court-of-appeals-an-ip-address-isnt-enough-to-identify-a-pirate

The Future of Food Growing : Meat in a Lab

Wednesday, August 8, 2018
Just read the latest on a topic I’ve been following for a while now, lab grown meat. Seems they’ve gotten close enough in terms of how appetizing it is (that’s the hard part, to make it super healthy is easier - also I want to highlight that it is cleaner/safer and of course not cruel like our current process!) to maybe have this area explode soon.

This company Memphis Meats seems to be at the forefront but clearly would be the first of many and create a huge subsector (biotech I guess). I’m sure you know Steak (just made some great Beef Tenderloin on the weekend!) currently has the most negative impact on the environment, and of course is costly in many other ways.

Just some food for thought haha pun intended ;-)



Teksavvy promotion - I'm switching to 150/15

Sunday, June 24, 2018
I'll sadly be letting go of my Motorola Surbboard, best modem ever...I'll be passing it onto my Mom as she moves to Whitby in a month. Signing her up for the 30/5 plan and the SB6141 is compatible with that plan.

I did some research on the 10 or so choices Teksavvy allows for the 150/15 plan...turns out most have the dreaded Puma 6 chipset which causes latency issues, jitters etc.
http://www.badmodems.com/Issue3.htm

Luckly the only 1 that uses Broadcom not Intel's Puma chipset seems to be a good modem so the choice is clear! Now I just need to find one not out of stock as I'm not the only one that figured this out!

https://www.amazon.com/TP-Link-TC7650-Download-1000Mbps-Certified/dp/B06Y4TG6KN#customerReviews

Future Vaca - Atlantis Resort Bahamas

Counting down the time till we can go here, prob need Riri to be at least 6 so 4 more years!

Will need to save up a bit as it's not cheap, but good vaca's rarely are!

Check this great video to get an idea of the slides etc, amazing!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VP953x4DNBo

Also pics of the resort here

Thank you new PC Govt...NOT!

Wednesday, June 20, 2018
One of the top reasons I never vote PC...their overwhelming lack of concern for the environment.

So I wasn't shocked to see this as one of their first commands

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/green-ontario-fund-ottawa-1.4713637

2 very different but equally interesting things...

Thursday, January 25, 2018
Some amazing surreal skiing here
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NHrwcQQ38bA

One of my top intellectual idols, mathematician/hedge fund guru Jim Simons. Interview with New Yorker

https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2017/12/18/jim-simons-the-numbers-king

Black Mirror Season 4 is out today!

Friday, December 29, 2017
6 eps as usual, I'm looking for a 4K version but not easy to find...it is a bit early as it just came out on Netflix today.  I already found a 1080p HEVC version but I'd really like to get 4K so I'll have to try and be patient but if any ep this season is on the level of San Junipero from S03 it'll be unreal!

I saw there was a Star Trek'esque ep, curious to see how that will go...w/o any spoilers I had heard already Hang the DJ ep is the best (ep 4 I think just like San Junipero was)...but we'll see.  I'll update this post once I watch all 6.

Esp. if you have Netflix go and enjoy asap!!!

Cooking Oil Health Update

Sunday, December 10, 2017
Two main oils we use are this great Olive Oil (for low/mid heat cooking - it was an easy decision to use Olive oil for this as there has been a myriad of studies showing all its health benefits) and for the past few years this great expeller-pressed naturally refined Canola Oil (for high heat stir frys).

As my friends know one of my main hobbies is keeping up with Science/Tech/Health research and this weekend I just read about a new study that raised my concerns on Canola Oil (even the high quality one we buy).  Before we get to that, I'll quickly reiterate why we went with Canola Oil for stir frys, it's high in monounsaturated fats and with the natural refining it can stand high heat (here's a great tutorial link on what to look for in healthy oils, I like this site as it has references to research for all their claims), also a great balance of Omega 6 to 3's, etc.  But some downsides were the very nature of Canola oil not being a good healthy oil, until Canadian plant scientists GMO'd it (for the record I have no issue with GMO if it's done properly for the right reasons, but that's a topic for another day) by selective breeding, which was the level of GMO sophistication back in the 70's.  I also knew that Avocado oil was probably the healthiest high heat cooking oil but 2-3 years ago it was a very very expensive option, today it's just somewhat expensive.

So here's the new research on Canola oil, a few things to keep in mind is that they used the very unnaturally extracted/refined regular/cheap Canola oil (which is what 90% of people buy so makes sense).  Also, as this is prelim research they can't pinpoint what exactly in the Canola oil is causing these unhealthy results.  Also it is a mouse not a human study.  So for many reasons I'm not suggesting we abandon our good expensive Canola oils (but if you have just the $3-4 ones I do urge you to dump that!) but I always preach diversity and for all these reasons, next time we stock up it will be on these 2 oils below.

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2017/12/171207141624.htm

For High heat cooking, we're definitely switching to Avocado oil (read this for the many benefits) and I found a very high quality one that's reasonably priced and readily available!  Loblaws has at a great price as does Walmart (their Organic section is growing).

https://www.walmart.ca/en/ip/chosen-foods-100-pure-avocado-oil/6000196888795

Also, to try and work in another super healthy oil (again read this to find out why), we'll buy this great and reasonably priced Coconut Oil for baking and making pancakes!  Some people don't like how Coconut oil solidifies, well that's because of the long chain triglycerides, so what Nature's Way did is naturally replace the LCT's with the very healthy MCT's, to increase the MCT level to 92% (from the 62% in normal coconut oil)...now it's healthier and doesn't solidify.

https://www.vitamart.ca/natures-way-liquid-coconut-oil.html

PS  One final thought, as I always keep a look out for the future...seems the next dimension of diversification may be Algae Oil!  I'll keep an eye on it, as the research comes in...bottom line is that Olive Oil has by far the most research studies, nothing else comes close so it's a field you have to keep an eye on and roll with the punches!

Google's DeepMind AI Becomes a Superhuman Chess Player In a Few Hours

Wednesday, December 6, 2017
I've been very busy with my great new job since the summer so clearly less postings...also of course my wonderful family keeps me busy as well so little time to blog!

Just wanted to quickly share this follow up AlphaZero story, this is def another level of AI now...still a few levels at least from a general intelligence like ours but when it's laser focused on a particular game it's amazing what it can do!

https://games.slashdot.org/story/17/12/06/216256/googles-deepmind-ai-becomes-a-superhuman-chess-player-in-a-few-hours

Yet more on Future of Jobs

Monday, September 25, 2017
Ray Kurzweil spoke a bit more on the future of jobs during an interview with Fortune.

https://hardware.slashdot.org/story/17/09/25/0552259/ray-kurzweil-explains-why-technology-wont-eliminate-human-jobs

That's a great way to put it...some of the comments below the summary are worth noting, though many are not.  One that adds something is this one

https://hardware.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=11157175&cid=55257971

Speaking of the future, the way jobs turn out in a Star Trek society is Utopian imo!  Seems ST Discovery had a good debut, I personally liked it even though I've never been that interested in Klingons...I'm just happy to have ST back on the air, they did say Season 2 will be a whole new "non-Klingon story"

http://variety.com/2017/tv/news/star-trek-discovery-premiere-ratings-cbs-all-access-1202570092/

Addendum:  Quora topic on ST Discovery reviews

https://www.quora.com/What-is-your-review-of-Star-Trek-Discovery




Interesting Items Part Deux

Thursday, September 7, 2017
I've been a big proponent of clean water being a priority, so when we bought our house I bought both a whole-house Kinetico water purification (and softening) system...on top of that a 5-stage Reverse-Osmosis (RO) in the kitchen.

Check the article, these plastic fibers contaminants are 10 microns, that will pass thru a lot of filters even, certainly anything the city might use but RO's semi-permeable membrane is typically 0.0001 microns :-)  Also clearly they cannot be boiled away...unless of course you mean distilling your water (i.e. catching the water vapor) ;-)

Hard to say at this point what kinds of ailments drinking microscopic plastic fibers could lead to but we have been hearing about stranger and stranger ones in the last few decades.

https://science.slashdot.org/story/17/09/06/2020257/plastic-fibers-found-in-83-percent-of-worlds-tap-water-study-reveals

Changing gears, this is a very cool new hack called the Dolphin-Attack using hypersonic commands on all the Siri's and other voice assistants...we of course cannot hear past audible frequencies so we have no idea anything is even happening!

https://apple.slashdot.org/story/17/09/06/2026247/hackers-can-take-control-of-siri-and-alexa-by-whispering-to-them-in-frequencies-humans-cant-hear

Workers: Fear Not the Robot Apocalypse


It is too rare to see articles regarding the positive side of automation...I mean think about it, automation didn't just start yesterday it's been going on in one form or another for at least a century or more and the avg. person's standard of living is quite a bit higher since back then!

https://news.slashdot.org/story/17/09/05/1959229/workers-fear-not-the-robot-apocalypse

Pseudo-Random Interesting Stuff

Thursday, August 31, 2017
The pseudo only applies to random in the title not to interesting ;-)

Linked in report on Jobs & Salaries for 2017.  Highlights:
  • STEM jobs pay the best
  • Highest paid undergrad = CS (shocker), highest paid grad degree = MD (even bigger shocker haha) 
  • San Fran & Seattle are tops for overall pay...NYC no longer tops 

Finally there’s a new approved therapy for Cancer (leukemia) that isn’t just radiation and chemo. I have seen many amazing sounding therapies but all were in experimental phase (such as 2nd link), I can't recall every seeing one finally get approved...hope this is the 1st of many! 
 

Now on to a Quora topic on fave math puzzles...I only took a close look at 1, this one below is very cool.  I was too tired to really dig into it so gave an educated guess, it's nearly the right answer but there is an answer a bit better but requires quite a bit more thinking and imagination to come up with it.


The rest are here, some maybe good for little kids but most better for high school kids or us grown ups